Friday, September 29, 2006

September 29th Show

Front Page
Best 3rd Quarter in Years
Fall Rally?
Hard or Soft Landing?
Government Confirms Nat Gas will rise this winter

Bolling
Play the Presidential Election Cycle
Home builders SPDR Homebuilders (XHB)
Defensive iShares Dow Jones Select Dividend Index (DVY)
Owns Crude Oil
Natural Gas storage is limited causing price increases in winter
Skeptical of Ethanol

Strazzini
The strong 3rd quarter was a result of weakness before
Small and mid cap stocks not part of the rally
Rallies can be deceptive
Likes Barr Pharmaceuticals Inc. (BRL)
Likes SWS Group Inc. (SWS)
Strong industrial period and cold winter increase Nat Gas cost
Don’t bet on Nat Gas too big in case of a warm winter

Macke
Consumer name rally not done yet
Best thing for the market would be a pull back
Bullish on the DOW
Only 2 of 30 DOW companies are at highs.
Buy the dip if bad news with ISM Manufacturing numbers on Monday

Adami
Likes Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW)

Word on the Street

Bolling
Owns Corn and Wheat
Buy Agrium Inc. (AGU)
Buy ConAgra Foods Inc. (CAG)
Buy Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. (ADM)

Strazzini
Likes Templeton Russia and East European Fund Inc. (TRF)
Likes Central Europe & Russia Fund Inc. (CEE)
Owns iShares MSCI Malaysia Index (EWM)

Macke
Likes McDonald's Corp. (MCD)

Adami
Sell Wendy's International Inc. (WEN)

Winning Trades

Bolling
Covanta Holding Corporation (CVA) up 5% in just over a week

Strazzini
Jefferies Group Inc. (JEF) up 13% since Aug 23rd

Macke
Gymboree Corp. (GYMB) up 19% since Sept 19th

Adami
Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM) up 6% in 7 trading days

Sector Trade
War on Terror and Guns

Bolling
Don’t touch Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (SWHC)
Bullish on Military Defense stocks on pull backs.

Macke
Don’t buy stocks that warn on Fridays!

Adami
Buy Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (SWHC) but could pull back

Hot Trades

Bolling
Stay away from Research In Motion Ltd. (RIMM) after big move today

Strazzini
Buy J Crew Group Inc. (JCG)
Trade Foot Locker Inc. (FL)

Macke
Dead Money with Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK)
Buy J Crew Group Inc. (JCG)

Adami
Slow Money with Merck & Co. Inc. (MRK)
Research In Motion Ltd. (RIMM) going down

Fast Fire
Bad Trades

Bolling
Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) down 10% - Stay in it

Strazzini
Walgreen Co. (WAG) down 12% - Still Long

Adami
Pacific Ethanol, Inc. (PEIX) down 14% - Sell it

Stocks on Sale

Bolling
Buy Deere & Co. (DE)

Strazzini
Buy OSI Pharmaceuticals Inc. (OSIP)

Macke
Buy Korn/Ferry International (KFY)

Adami
Buy Headwaters Inc. (HW)

First Trade of the 4th Quarter

Strazzini
Short Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ)

Macke
Buy Circuit City Stores Inc. (CC)

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