Friday, September 22, 2006

September 22nd - Day 5 of 5

Front Page
HP News
Stocks vs. Bonds
Quarter End Window Dressing

Bolling
Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) chart looks great and the business is solid
Bond market movement doesn’t signal end to stock market
Avoid Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

Strazzini
Looks to be conservative till the end of the year but look for a few trades
Telecom was up big this quarter and could go up next week on window dressing and could go flat or decline in the first week of October

Macke
Weak stocks from the quarter will be down this week on window dressing
Arch Coal Inc. (ACI) lost in the 3rd quarter so should be weak next week
Walgreen Co. (WAG) could decline but not enough juice for a short

Adami
Buy Hewlett-Packard Co. (HPQ) but there will be hiccups
7th time for an inverted yield curve and the last 6 has lead to a recession
Don’t look for a short squeeze in Superior Industries International Inc. (SUP) for the next week.

Winning Trades

Bolling
Harley-Davidson Inc. (HOG) up 10%

Strazzini
Symantec Corp. (SYMC) up 13%
Tibco Software Inc. (TIBX) up 16%

Macke
Borders Group Inc. (BGP) up 9%

Adami
Greenhill & Co Inc. (GHL) up 15%

Take Your Position

Bolling
Buy SPDR Homebuilders (XHB)
Buy KB Home (KBH)
Buy Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (HOV)

Strazzini
Would rather buy the stock than chase options

Adami
Watch the options for Clorox Co. (CLX)

Options Analyst Guests – The Narjarians Brothers
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. (BMY) $27.50 Call options
Looks for big block buys from institutions
The move has been missed on Tribune Co. (TRB)Heavy buying in AT&T Inc. (T) November 35 calls.

Hot Trades

Macke
Sell New York Times Co. (NYT)

Adami
Buy Target Corp. (TGT) at $51.75
Short Tribune Co. (TRB)
Sell Cablevision Systems Corp. (CVC)

Fast Fire

Bolling
CHC Helicopter Corp. (FLI) – Get out of it

Strazzini
Yahoo! Inc. (YHOO) – Still likes it

Macke
Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM) - Get out of it

Adami
Grey Wolf Inc. (GW) – Get out of it

Dirty Trades
Prisons

Bolling
Buy Corrections Corp. of America (CXW)

Strazzini
Buy United States Steel Corp. (X) or November 60 calls

Final Trade

Bolling
Buy Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT)

Strazzini
Buy MedImmune Inc. (MEDI)

Macke
Buy AT&T Inc. (T)

Adami
Buy Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS)

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